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Olympics

Medal predictions for every Winter Olympic competition

Photo: Sochi 2014

Over the next two weeks, everyone is chasing these. Who's going to end up with the most?

Over the course of 18 days, 294 medals will be distributed through hotly contested competition. The U.S. enters the Sochi Games coming off its record performance at the Vancouver Olympics, when the Americans topped the medal charts with a haul of 37, easily the most of all competing countries.

Can the U.S. match its dominance in an Olympics considerably farther from home than four years ago? That's unlikely as Norway -- coming off just 23 medals in Vancouver -- appears poised to rival Team USA for supremacy in Sochi. And don't count out a rise from the Russians capitalizing on their home-ice advantage.

Below are my projections for the final medal count as well as predictions for each of the 98 events.

Projected Medal Count
COUNTRY GOLD SILVER BRONZE 2014 PREDICTED TOTAL 2010 TOTAL
Norway 13 12 10 35 23(4)
U.S. 13 12 9 34 37(1)
Canada 12 8 11 31 26(3)
Germany 8 8 14 30 30(2)
Russia 9 10 6 25 15(6)
Austria 5 9 5 19 16(5)
The Netherlands 7 4 2 13 8(12)
South Korea 5 5 3 13 14(7)
Sweden 2 6 5 13 11(T-8)
France 3 3 5 11 11(T-8)
China 3 4 3 10 11(T-8)
Switzerland 3 3 3 9 9(11)
Czech Republic 2 3 1 6 6(T-13)
ALPINE SKIING
MEN'S DOWNHILL
Never doubt 36-year-old Miller, who has five medals over three Olympics.
Norway Flag Norway Aksel Lund Svindal
Canada Flag Canada Erik Guay
USA Flag U.S. Bode Miller
Men's Super-G
Defending champ Svindal, 31, leads the World Cup standings in downhill, Super-G and overall.
Norway Flag Norway Aksel Lund Svindal
Switzerland Flag Switzerland Patrick Kueng
Austria Flag Austria Georg Streitberger
Men's Giant Slalom
Part Norwegian, Pinturault has dual citizenship.
Austria Flag Austria Marcel Hirscher
USA Flag U.S. Ted Ligety
France Flag France Alexis Pinturault
Men's Slalom
Hirscher is a two-time overall World Cup champ.
Austria Flag Austria Marcel Hirscher
Germany Flag Germany Felix Neureuther
Austria Flag Austria Mario Matt
Men's Combined
Ligety started his own ski equipment company.
USA Flag U.S. Ted Ligety
France Flag France Alexis Pinturault
Norway Flag Norway Aksel Lund Svindal
Women's Downhill
Maze is one of six women to have won World Cup races in all five disciplines.
Germany Flag Germany Maria Hoefl-Riesch
Switzerland Flag Switzerland Marianne Kaufmann-Abderhalden
Norway Flag Slovenia Tina Maze
Women's Super-G
All nine of Liechtenstein's medals have come in Alpine skiing.
Switzerland Flag Switzerland Lara Gut
Austria Flag Austria Anna Fenninger
Liechtenstein Flag Liechtenstein Tina Weirather
Women's Giant Slalom
Lindell-Vikarby will turn 30 on the day the Games open.
Sweden Flag Sweden Jessica Lindell-Vikarby
Sweden Flag Sweden Maria Pietilae-Holmner
Austria Flag Austria Anna Fenninger
Women's Slalom
Schild, 32, had five knee surgeries by age 19.
USA Flag U.S. Mikaela Shiffrin
Austria Flag Austria Marlies Schild
Sweden Flag Sweden Frida Hansdotter
Women's Combined
Hoefl-Riesch is also nationally ranked in tennis.
Austria Flag Austria Nicole Hosp
Canada Flag Canada Marie-Michele Gagnon
Germany Flag Germany Maria Hoefl-Riesch
Biathlon
Men's 10K sprint
Martin's older brother, Simon, is a medal threat too.
France Flag France Martin Fourcade
Norway Flag Norway Emil Hegle Svendsen
Norway Flag Norway Ole Einar Boerndalen
Men's 12.5K pursuit
Svendsen has at least one world title in each event.
Norway Flag Norway Emil Hegle Svendsen
France Flag France Martin Fourcade
Germany Flag Germany Simon Schempp
Men's 15K mass start
Boe¸ won this event and two others at the 2013 worlds.
Russia Flag Russia Alexey Volkov
Norway Flag Norway Tarjei Boe¸
France Flag France Martin Fourcade
Men's 20K individual
Lake Placid's Tim Burke took silver in this race at the world championships.
Norway Flag Norway Emil Hegle Svendsen
France Flag France Martin Fourcade
Russia Flag Russia Evgeni Ustyugov
Men's 4x7.5K relay
Team Norway includes 40-year-old legend Ole Einar Boerndalen.
Norway Flag Norway  
Germany Flag Germany  
France Flag France  
Women's 7.5K sprint
Berger was Norway's sportsperson of the year in 2012.
Norway Flag Norway Tora Berger
Belarus Flag Belarus Darya Domracheva
Finland Flag Finland Kaisa Makarainen
Women's 10K pursuit
Valj's twin sister, Vita, is also an Olympian.
Finland Flag Finland Kaisa Makarainen
Norway Flag Norway Tora Berger
Ukraine Flag Ukraine Valj Semerenko
Women's 12.5K mass start
Henkel is dating U.S. team member Tim Burke.
Belarus Flag Belarus Darya Domracheva
Norway Flag Norway Tora Berger
Germany Flag Germany Andrea Henkel
Women's 15k individual
Domracheva once shot 500 hours of material for a biathlon documentary about her.
Czech Republic Flag Czech Republic Gabriela Soukalova
Belarus Flag Belarus Darya Domracheva
Norway Flag Norway Tora Berger
Women's 4x6K relay
Berger erased a 40-second deficit to lead Norway to world gold in 2013.
Norway Flag Norway  
Germany Flag Germany  
Russia Flag Russia  
Mixed relay
Twenty-one nations have won biathlon medals, but not the U.S.
Norway Flag Norway  
Czech Republic Flag Czech Republic  
France Flag France  
Bobsled
Men's Two-man
The last U.S. medal in this event came in 1952, in Oslo.
Switzerland  Flag Switzerland Driver: Beat Hefti
USA Flag U.S. Driver: Steve Holcomb
Germany  Flag Germany Driver: Francesco Friedrich
Men's Four-man
The U.S. took gold in Vancouver, its first since 1948 in St. Moritz.
USA Flag U.S. Driver: Steve Holcomb
Russia  Flag Russia Driver: Alexander Zubkov
Germany  Flag Germany Driver: Maximilian Arndt
Women's Two-woman
Humphries' husband, Dan, was an Olympic sledder for Great Britain and for Canada.
Canada Flag Canada Driver: Kaillie Humphries
USA Flag U.S. Driver: Elana Meyers
USA Flag U.S. Driver: Jamie Greubel
Cross-Country skiing
Men's 1.4K Sprint (Free)
Harvey's dad, Pierre, was a ski and cycling Olympian.
Russia  Flag Russia Nikita Kriukov
Italy Flag Italy Federico Pellegrino
Canada  Flag Canada Alex Harvey
Men's Team Sprint (Classic)
Just 1.5 seconds separated the top three teams in Vancouver.
Russia Flag Russia Russia
Norway  Flag Norway Norway
Sweden  Flag Sweden Sweden
Men's 15K Classic
Kazakhstan's one Winter gold came in cross-country skiing, in 1994.
Kazakhstan Flag Kazakhstan Alexey Poltoranin
Sweden Flag Sweden Johan Olsson
Germany Flag Germany Hannes Dotzler
Men's 30K Skiathlon
Sundby is coached by his younger brother Sondre.
Russia Flag Russia Alexander Legkov
Norway Flag Norway Martin Johnsrud Sundby
Switzerland Flag Switzerland Dario Cologna
Men's 50K Mass Start (Free)
Northug, winner of four Olympic medals, has been battling a virus for months.
Norway Flag Norway Martin Johnsrud Sundby
Russia Flag Russia Alexander Legkov
Norway Flag Norway Petter Northug
Men's 4x10K relay
Russia took third at 2013 worlds but has never won an Olympic medal in this event.
Russia Flag Russia  
Sweden Flag Sweden  
Norway Flag Norway  
Women's 1.2K Sprint (Free)
Randall was an Alaska champ in speed skiing (going straight downhill) and cross-country running.
USA Flag U.S. Kikkan Randall
Norway Flag Norway Marit Boergen
Germany Flag Germany Denise Herrmann
Women's Team Sprint (Classic)
The U.S. won this event at the 2013 worlds.
Norway Flag Norway  
Sweden Flag Sweden  
USA Flag U.S.  
Women's 10K Classic
Like teammate Bjoergen, Johaug grew up on a farm.
Poland Flag Poland Justyna Kowalczyk
Russia Flag Russia Yulia Chekaleva
Norway Flag Norway Therese Johaug
Women's 15K Skiathlon
Kowalczyk won three medals in 2010.
Poland Flag Poland Justyna Kowalczyk
Finland Flag Finland Anne Kyllonen
Norway Flag Norway Kristin Stoermer Steira
Women's 30K Mass Start (Free)
Bjoergen has won 19 world championship medals, including 12 golds.
Norway Flag Norway Therese Johaug
Norway Flag Norway Marit Bjoergen
Poland Flag Poland Justyna Kowalczyk
Women's 4x5K relay
Norway leads the alltime cross-country table in Olympic medals (96) and golds (35).
Norway Flag Norway  
Russia Flag Russia  
Sweden Flag Sweden  
Curling
Men's
Canada has won gold or silver at nine straight world championships.
Canada  Flag Canada  
Sweden Flag Sweden  
Great Britain  Flag Great Britain  
Women's
British skip Eve Muirhead, 23, also toiled at the world bagpiping championships as a teenager.
Great Britain Flag Great Britain  
Sweden  Flag Sweden  
Canada  Flag Canada  
Figure Skating
Men's
Hanyu's house was damaged by the tsunami in 2011.
Japan  Flag Japan Yuzuru Hanyu
Canada Flag Canada Patrick Chan
Spain  Flag Spain Javier Fernandez
Women's
Kim has sung with several recording artists in South Korea.
South Korea Flag South Korea Kim Yu-na
Russia  Flag Russia Julia Lipnitskaia
Japan  Flag Japan Mao Asada
Pairs
Trankov writes lyrics for his favorite music genre: hip-hop.
Russia Flag Russia Tatiana Volosozhar and Maxim Trankov
Germany Flag Germany Aliona Savchenko and Robin Szolkowy
Russia Flag Russia Ksenia Stolbova and Fedor Klimov
ICE DANCING
Multilingual Pechalat earned a business degree in Moscow.
USA Flag U.S. Meryl Davis and Charlie White
Canada Flag Canada Tessa Virtue and Scott Moir
France Flag France Nathalie Pechalat and Fabian Bourzat
TEAM
Three-time Olympic medalist Evgeni Plushenko, Russia's men's entrant, is the wild card.
Canada Flag Canada  
Russia Flag Russia  
USA Flag U.S.  
Freestyle Skiing
Men's Aerials
The five Olympic winners have hailed from five different countries.
China  Flag China Qi Guangpu
China Flag China Liu Zhongqing
Belarus  Flag Belarus Anton Kushnir
Men's Moguls
As a teenager Deneen was a champion in the equestrian sport of reining.
Canada Flag Canada Mikael Kingsbury
Canada  Flag Canada Alex Bilodeau
USA  Flag U.S. Patrick Deneen
Men's Ski Cross
With Brady Leman and Chris del Bosco, a Canadian sweep is possible
Canada Flag Canada David Duncan
Austria Flag Austria Andreas Matt
Sweden Flag Sweden Victor Oehling Norberg
Men's Halfpipe
Married at 20 and a youth pastor, Wise is known as "the Undude."
USA Flag U.S. David Wise
USA Flag U.S. Aaron Blunck
Canada Flag Canada Justin Dorey
Men's Slopestyle
The last two world champs, Tom Wallisch and Alex Schlopy, didn't make the U.S. team.
USA Flag U.S. Nick Goepper
USA Flag U.S. Bobby Brown
Sweden Flag Sweden Jesper Tjader
Women's Aerials
Olympic champ Lassila took two years off to have a baby.
China Flag China Zhang Xin
China Flag China Li Nina
Australia Flag Australia Lydia Lassila
Women's Moguls
A third Dufour-Lapointe sister, Maxime, is also on Canada's team
USA Flag U.S. Hannah Kearney
Canada Flag Canada Justine Dufour-Lapointe
Canada Flag Canada Chloe Dufour-Lapointe
Women's Ski cross
For the second straight Olympics, U.S. women failed to qualify in this event.
Canada Flag Canada Marielle Thompson
Switzerland Flag Switzerland Fanny Smith
Switzerland Flag Switzerland Katrin Mueller
Women's Halfpipe
Angeli Vanlaanen overcame Lyme disease to make the U.S. team.
USA Flag U.S. Maddie Bowman
USA Flag U.S. Devin Logan
Australia Flag Australia Amy Sheehan
Women's Slopestyle
Maggie Voisin, 15, is the youngest U.S. Olympian since 1972.
Canada Flag Canada Dara Howell
USA Flag U.S. Keri Herman
Germany Flag Germany Lisa Zimmermann
Hockey
Men's
U.S. men last won an Olympic hockey medal in Europe in 1956.
Sweden  Flag Sweden  
Russia Flag Russia  
Canada  Flag Canada  
Women's
The U.S. and Canada have met for gold in all 15 world championships.
USA Flag U.S.  
Canada  Flag Canada  
Finland  Flag Finland  
Luge
Men's Singles
Zoggeler, 40, could become the first athlete to win six medals in an individual event.
Germany  Flag Germany Felix Loch
Italy Flag Italy Armin Zoggeler
Germany  Flag Germany David Moller
Men's Doubles
Wendl and Arlt have won three of the last four overall World Cup titles.
Germany Flag Germany Tobias Wendl and Tobias Arlt
Germany  Flag Germany Toni Eggert and Sascha Benecken
Austria  Flag Austria Peter Penz and Georg Fischler
Women's Singles
German women have won 10 of the last 12 Olympic medals.
Germany Flag Germany Natalie Geisenberger
Germany Flag Germany Tatjana Hufner
Canada Flag Canada Alex Gough
MIXED Relay
Sliders from German- or Italian-speaking nations have won 39 of 40 Olympic luge golds.
Germany Flag Germany  
Italy Flag Italy  
Austria Flag Austria  
Nordic Combined
Normal hill
A French border patrol officer, Lamy-Chappuis was born in Montana.
France  Flag France Jason Lamy Chappuis
Norway Flag Norway Haavard Klemetsen
Germany  Flag Germany Eric Frenzel
Large hill
Todd Lodwick and Bill Demong of the U.S. have combined to make 11 Olympic teams.
Germany Flag Germany Eric Frenzel
Norway  Flag Norway Magnus Krog
Norway  Flag Norway Mikko Kokslein
Team
Norway has won 11 Nordic combined golds. No other country has more than four.
Germany Flag Germany  
Austria Flag Austria  
Norway Flag Norway  
Skeleton
Men's
Younger brother Martins is a three-time Latvian sportsman of the year.
Latvia Flag Latvia Martins Dukurs
Russia Flag Russia Alexander Tretiakov
Latvia Flag Latvia Tomass Dukurs
Women's
Pikus-Pace nearly lost her leg when she was struck by a bobsled in 2005.
Great Britain Flag Great Britain Elizabeth Yarnold
USA  Flag U.S. Noelle Pikus-Pace
Great Britain  Flag Great Britain Shelley Rudman
Ski Jumping
Men's Normal hill
Prevc is nicknamed Muscle for his trademark fist pumps.
Norway Flag Norway Anders Bardal
Slovenia Flag Slovenia Peter Prevc
Germany  Flag Germany Thomas Diethart
Men's Large hill
Schlierenzauer's uncle is Austrian luge great Markus Prock.
Slovenia Flag Slovenia Peter Prevc
Austria  Flag Austria Gregor Schlierenzauer
Poland  Flag Poland Kamil Stoch
Men's Team
Japan's Noriaki Kasai is in his seventh Olympics.
Austria Flag Austria  
Germany Flag Germany  
Norway  Flag Norway  
Women's Normal hill
Takanashi, 17, has eight victories in nine events this season.
Japan Flag Japan Sara Takanashi
USA  Flag U.S. Sarah Hendrickson
Germany  Flag Germany Carina Vogt
Snowboarding
Men's Halfpipe
Podladchikov, whose nickname is iPod, competed for his native Russia in 2006.
USA Flag U.S. Shaun White
Japan Flag Japan Ayumu Hirano
Switzerland  Flag Switzerland Yuri Podladchikov
Men's Parallel Giant Slalom
Slovenia is looking for its first Winter gold.
Slovenia Flag Slovenia Zan Kosir
Austria  Flag Austria Lukas Mathies
Russia  Flag Russia Vic Wild
Men's Parallel Slalom
U.S. boarder Justin Reiter has been living in his truck to defray costs.
France Flag France Sylvain Dufour
Austria Flag Austria Andreas Prommegger
Slovenia  Flag Slovenia Zan Kosir
Men's Slopestyle
McMorris and his brother, Craig, are the subjects of an MTV series.
Canada Flag Canada Mark McMorris
Norway  Flag Norway Torstein Horgmo
Canada  Flag Canada Sebastien Toutant
Men's Snowboardcross
Australia's two-time world champ, Alex (Chumpy) Pullin, has struggled this season.
Austria Flag Austria Markus Schairer
Italy Flag Italy Omar Visintin
Australia  Flag Australia Jarryd Hughes
Women's Halfpipe
Arielle is one of three Golds on the U.S. team.
Australia Flag Australia Torah Bright
USA  Flag U.S. Kelly Clark
USA  Flag U.S Arielle Gold
Women's Parallel Giant Slalom
U.S. women did not qualify for PS or for PGS.
Germany Flag Germany Isabella Labock
Austria Flag Austria Julia Dujmovits
Japan  Flag Japan Tomoka Takeuchi
Women's Parallel Slalom
Kober was pregnant when she competed in 2010.
Switzerland Flag Switzerland Patrizia Kummer
Czech Republic  Flag Czech Republic Ester Ledecka
Germany  Flag Germany Amelia Kober
Women's Slopestyle
Anderson was 16 when she won an X Games title in 2007.
USA Flag U.S. Jamie Anderson
Canada Flag Canada Spencer O'Brien
Czech Republic  Flag Czech Republic Sarko Pancochova
Women's Snowboardcross
Ricker doesn't recall the crash that knocked her out at the 2006 Games.
Canada Flag Canada Maelle Ricker
Norway  Flag Norway Helene Olafsen
Canada  Flag Canada Dominique Maltais
Speedskating (Long-Track)
Men's 500 Meters
Mulder's twin brother, Ronald, could also medal.
Netherlands Flag Netherlands Michel Mulder
South Korea Flag South Korea Mo Tae-bum
Japan  Flag Japan Joji Kato
Men's 1,000 Meters
Kuzin nearly quit the sport after a shoulder injury in 2012.
USA Flag U.S. Shani Davis
Netherlands  Flag Netherlands Michel Mulder
Kazakhstan  Flag Kazakhstan Denis Kuzin
Men's 1,500 Meters
Davis has two Olympic silvers and the world record in this event.
Russia Flag Russia Denis Yuskov
Netherlands Flag Netherlands Koen Verweij
USA  Flag U.S. Shani Davis
Men's 5,000 Meters
Bergsma abandoned a plan to skate for Kazakhstan in 2010 after learning he'd have to give up his Dutch citizenship.
Netherlands Flag Netherlands Sven Kramer
Netherlands  Flag Netherlands Jorrit Bergsma
South Korea  Flag South Korea Lee Seung-hoon
Men's 10,000 Meters
Kramer lost gold in Vancouver after being DQ'd for committing a lane violation.
Netherlands Flag Netherlands Jorrit Bergsma
Netherlands Flag Netherlands Sven Kramer
Netherlands  Flag Netherlands Bob de Jong
Men's Team Pursuit
The Dutch have the most Olympic oval medals (82), but the U.S. has the most golds (29).
Netherlands Flag Netherlands T
South Korea  Flag South Korea  
USA  Flag U.S  
Women's 500 Meters
Lee has a fascination with Lego.
South Korea Flag South Korea Lee Sang-hwa
China Flag China Yu Jing
USA  Flag U.S. Heather Richardson
Women's 1,000 Meters
Richardson is engaged to Bergsma.
Russia Flag Russia Olga Fatkulina
USA  Flag U.S. Heather Richardson
China  Flag China Zhang Hong
Women's 1,500 Meters
Wust was just 19 when she won the 3,000 in Turin.
Netherlands Flag Netherlands Ireen Wust
USA Flag U.S. Brittany Bowe
Russia  Flag Russia Yuliya Skokova
Women's 3,000 Meters
Pechstein is a sergeant in the German Federal Police.
Netherlands Flag Netherlands Ireen Wust
Czech Republic  Flag Czech Republic Martina Sablikova
Germany  Flag Germany Claudia Pechstein
Women's 5,000 Meters
There are no speedskating ovals in Sablikova's home country.
Czech Republic Flag Czech Republic Martina Sablikova
Germany Flag Germany Claudia Pechstein
Netherlands  Flag Netherlands Yvonne Nauta
Women's Team Pursuit
The Dutch women have never won an Olympic medal in team pursuit.
Netherlands Flag Netherlands  
Poland  Flag Poland  
Canada  Flag Canada  
Speedskating (Short-Track)
Men's 500 Meters
Korean-born Ahn Hyun-soo, now Viktor Ahn, became a Russian citizen in 2011.
Russia Flag Russia Viktor Ahn
Canada Flag Canada Charles Hamelin
China  Flag China Wu Dajing
Men's 1,000 Meters
Hamelin's father, Yves, runs Canada's national team.
Canada Flag Canada Charles Hamelin
Russia  Flag Russia Viktor Ahn
China  Flag China Wu Dajing
Men's 1,500 Meters
Look for 2010 bronze medalist J.R. Celski of the U.S. to challenge.
Cananda Flag Canada Charles Hamelin
South Korea Flag South Korea Lee Han-bin
Russia  Flag Russia Viktor Ahn
Men's 5,000-Meter Relay
The U.S. has taken third in this event at the last two Games.
Canada Flag Canada  
Russia  Flag Russia  
USA  Flag U.S.  
Women's 500 Meters
Favorite Wang Meng of China is out with a broken ankle.
China Flag China Fan Kexin
South Korea Flag South Korea Shim Suk-hee
South Korea  Flag South Korea Park Seung-hi
Women's 1,000 Meters
A season ago, Shim won her first World Cup race, at age 15.
South Korea Flag South Korea Shim Suk-hee
Italy  Flag Italy Arianna Fontana
South Korea  Flag South Korea Kim A-lang
Women's 1,500 Meters
South Koreans have won two medals in this event at each Olympics.
South Korea Flag South Korea Shim Suk-hee
South Korea Flag South Korea Kim A-lang
Canada  Flag Canada Valerie Maltais
Women's 3,000-Meter Relay
The U.S. got bronze in 2010 but didn't qualify in 2014.
South Korea Flag South Korea  
China  Flag China  
Italy  Flag Italy